So this commentary is from Steve Brown who is the FAA Safety Manager at the Boston FSDO. I am a VOLUNTEER safety rep for the FAA. I can't speak for them or say anything authoritative on behalf of the FAA - but I give talks for WINGS credits sometimes. I was sharing my work with him to try and get some greater context - as he has a "bigger view" of all types of EAB. Steve is a "good guy". On the side of GA. He wants to make things safer too. This comment from him and graph are published with his explicit permission:
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As always, interesting. That is a large percentage of the fleet.
Looking at your spreadsheet there was something that caught my attention. The Rate of Fatal Accidents. I know it and all Experimental aircraft tend to have a higher rate of Fatal Accidents, but just looking at the data it seemed high.
Here is a comparison of a chart from your spreadsheet data and the NALL report data. It appears that about 1 in 3 accidents in a Sonex are fatal, where in all other experimental it is about 1 in 4 or 5.
You know what would probably be scarier – is the rate per # hours flown. Would be hard to get the data, but I bet the hours are low and the rate per 100,000 hours is high. That is something in the glider world that many people have a hard time comprehending. There the Fatal Accident rate is about the same as the overall fixed wing accident rate, with the overall glider accident rate being about 4 times high. I bet you would see at least the same in the Sonex world.
I looked quickly at the trends with the engine type on accident severity, but nothing was really jumping out at me.
Boy – there are a lot of engine issues, loss of power, especially in the Fatal and Serious Accidents. A top Priority on pilot skills would be “dead Stick” landings. The structure is not that massive/energy absorbing, if you are going to hit something, you need to do it as slow as possible and in control as much as possible. You need to be prepared for engine failure.
Now, that being said, more of a root cause is the engine assembly/maintenance of the engine and components. There are a lot of failures for reasons that should not be there. That is where I would put the focus to reduce the accident rate overall. Reduce the Fatal and Serious accident by strong emphasis on engine out procedures, off airport landings and as Bob Hoover said, “Fly it as far into the crash as you can”.
Thanx
SKB