EAB safety record improves

[Sonex1517]

Hi all

Great news recently if you missed it. The safety record for EAB improved dramatically in the past year.

GA news article here -

https://generalaviationnews.com/2017/11 ... ac28-79157

[lutorm]

That's of course good news, but my concern is that with only ~30 fatal accidents per year, there's a 1/3 chance that the number would be outside of the 21-39 range on any given year just from random variations, without any underlying real changes. We should be careful of claiming changes like these as causal since there's a large amount of random variation and when we get a random fluctuation to larger number of fatalities on some year people will claim that things are "going in the wrong direction" when it's really just noise.

[DCASonex]

Hope the improvement is real, but wonder how accurate the statement about increased hours is. Weather here in Western NY has been very poor for flying and my hours are down and from what i hear from other, I am not alone.

David A.